Now that the 2017 race season is over (already, how on earth did that happen so quickly?) and all the major trade shows have been and gone, we've been rubbing our crystal balls until they can't shine any brighter to show you what the future of mountain biking holds. Here are our kit, trend and people predictions for 2018...


1 Plus tyres are dead! Long live slightly smaller plus tyres!

The original 650b+ tyres were a load of crap, with paper-thin sidewalls. They're improving now, but is it too late? Tyres like Maxxis's 'Wide Trail' offerings, which sit between a regular tyre and a plus tyre in size (2.4 to 2.6in), offer many of the benefits with fewer of the disadvantages and work great with the latest wider rims. We reckon they're only going to get more popular. (Check out MBUK 345 for our grouptest of the latest mid and plus-size options).

The Maxxis Minion DHF Wide Trail tyre
Maxxis's 'Wide Trail' tyres strike a good balance of grip, stability and volume. Credit: Mick Kirkman

2 Flat pedals will steal the thunder

After Sam Hill's triumph in this year's Enduro World Series (EWS), everyone will be jumping back on the 'Flat Pedal Thunder' bandwagon. SPDs will be burned in pagan rituals and Five Ten will see a 200 per cent boost in sales. OK, maybe not, but if there is a resurgence in people riding flat pedals, it'll be no bad thing – it can improve your technique and, as Sam has proven, can work out quicker too.

Sam Hill rides the Enduro World Series in Finale, Italy.
Sam Hill tore the EWS a new one, winning the 2017 series on flat pedals. What a champ! Credit: Nukeproof

3 Seat tubes are set to shrink

The first 200mm+ dropper post is already here (check out the BikeRadar review here), and it won't be the last. And when your bike is hung like a horse, there's no need for such a long seat tube. Frame sizes will begin to be differentiated only by reach, and riders will be able to choose based on length, not standover room.

Rockshox's Reverb dropper seat post
Drop it like it's hot! The dropper has become a staple for any discerning mountain biker, and they're getting longer and longer. Credit: Mick Kirkman

4 No more 'going full enduro'

The 'enduro' look – goggles and an open-face lid – has been around for quite a few years now. But with the introduction of lighter, better-ventilated and, let's face it, cooler-looking convertible helmets, we expect more people to ditch their open-faces for the improved protection of a full-face. We've heard Troy Lee Designs have been working on their own removable-chinbar lid, which is the ultimate stamp of approval.

Alex Evans rides his Orange Segment long term test bike at Windhill in Wiltshire at Longleat safari park.
MBUK Features Editor Alex Evans goes full enduro, with not just goggles under his open-face lid but a facemask too! Credit: Russell Burton

5 More travel equals more fun

Short-travel 29ers were a big deal this year and most bike brands had at least one in their line-up. For 2018, longer travel seems to be the trend, regardless of whether you prefer 29in or 650b wheels. Improved suspension and geometry means you really can shred the downs like you're on a DH bike, then pedal back up. Most of the MBUK staffers are going to have longer-travel long-term bikes next year.

MBUK Staff Writer Ed Thomsett rides the 2018 Saracen Ariel in North Wales
Staff Writer Ed Thomsett gets to grips with the 2018 Saracen Ariel, with its whopping 165mm of travel. Credit: Luke Webber/Saracen bikes

6 Turn it up to 12!

Shimano are late to the party again, with SRAM launching their first 12-speed drivetrains way back in March 2016 and following them up with cheaper versions too. We predict that 2018 will see Shimano develop (but maybe not release) a 12-speed offering. One question remains – will it be worth all the extra time in development?

SRAM X01 Eagle drive train with gold and black cassette
The wide gear range of SRAM's 12-speed Eagle drivetrains has won them plenty of fans. Will Shimano follow suit or do they have some other trick up their sleeve? Credit: Steve Behr

7 'Fanny packs' will fade

Bumbags have made a surprising U-turn on the 'cool or crap?' scale, and are currently one of the most sought-after accessories for the discerning mountain biker. But why do the donkey work when your bike can do it for you? The new year will bring all kinds of new and exciting ways to attach stuff to your frame, or hide it inside it. Backpacks and bumbags will become a thing of the past, and you'll soon be asking yourself how you ever managed without 2018's newest storage solution.

More like this
Hannah Barnes' custom Specialized Enduro has a neat SWAT storage system
Specialized's SWAT storage system frees you of the shackles of a sweaty backpack. Credit: Brodie Hood

8 Back to the future

Fashion comes and goes like a prostitute in a sexual health clinic, so it stands to reason that 2018 will see the resurgence of flames, lightning bolts, screaming skulls and stars on our bike kit. Some of this kit will be pro-rider only, but we're sure that as soon as they're all wearing black again it'll be available to the paying consumer!

Rob Weaver wears Troy Lee Designs helmet with skulls
TBT to 2012, when skulls and lairy patterns were all the rage. Credit: James Costley-White

9 DH 29ers are here to stay

The sight of 29er downhill bikes at 2017's first World Cup round caught quite a few people off guard. Team managers and riders recoiled in fear at the prospect of being beaten by the big-wheeled monsters. Santa Cruz, Trek, Scott, Mondraker, Commencal, Cube, Saracen, Bergamont and others all now have DH 29ers, and more will no doubt follow. But will us lesser mortals actually be able to buy any of them in 2018? We hope so!

Santa Cruz's prototype V10 29er downhill bike
Santa Cruz's V10 29er prototype caused a hell of a stir at the first round of the World Cup in 2017. Credit: Sven Martin

10 British DH will bounce back

Domestic downhill racing is in a spot of bother. The national series is out for tender at the moment, with long-time organiser Si Paton blaming dwindling entries for his departure. There's also an ongoing court case where British Cycling, a race organiser and a marshal face charges over the death of a spectator at a regional race (for more on this, check out the Shropshire Star), which could have big repercussions for grassroots events. British downhill has weathered plenty of storms in the past though, so we don't reckon it's on the rocks just yet.

Joe Breeden who rides for Intense Cycles UK hits the first turn on the Fort William downhill track in the sunshine
With talented riders like Joe Breeden and classic tracks like Fort William, British DH definitely ain't dead yet. Credit: Steve Behr

11 Enduro won't just endure

Enduro racing is getting tougher and more exciting by the year. Some of the EWS's timed downhill stages are nearing the 20-minute mark and riders are descending over 1,500m in one go, on trails that are as tough as World Cup tracks. It requires epic levels of skill, stamina and strength to keep going for that long. We think we could see more downhill racers take on the ever-growing and most physically challenging discipline in our sport in 2018.

Sam Hill wins the 2017 overall Enduro World Series title
With Sam Hill's success this year, we can see even more downhillers dabbling in enduro. Credit: Nukeproof

12 Big names could bow out

With top-level downhill and enduro races now requiring 110% commitment, 110% of the time, will we see more riders swapping start lines for selfies and social media? So far, Hannah Barnes, Josh Bryceland and Manon Carpenter have all decided that there's more to life than racing. We predict a number of high-profile riders will follow suit in 2018.

Oliver Carter checks his Instagram feed on an MBUK photo shoot
What's more important? Race results or social media followers? Answers on a postcard. Credit: Roo Fowler

13 Peak gnarliness may have been achieved

Red Bull Rampage has been getting bigger and gnarlier ever since its debut in 2001. We've seen more riders crash out and severely injure themselves in recent years, begging the question – has the event reached its peak, in terms of the difficulty of the terrain and size of the lines? Last year, our columnist Sam Reynolds pulled out, saying he thought it was just too dangerous. Are we going to see more riders doing the same this year? Quite possibly, and who can blame them?

Bredan Fairclough digs a new line on his line at the Red Bull Rampage site in Virgin Utah
Brendan Fairclough and his trail crew prepare a Rampage line. Does it look steep enough to you? Credit: Ian Collins

What are your predictions for 2018? Let us know on Facebook!

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Alex EvansSenior technical editor

Alex Evans is BikeRadar’s senior mountain bike technical editor. He started racing downhill at the tender age of 11 before going on to compete across Europe. Alex moved to Morzine in the French Alps at 19 to pursue a career as a bike bum and clocked up an enormous amount of riding. Hitting those famous tracks day in, day out for eight years, he broke more bikes than he can remember. Alex then moved back to the UK and put his vast knowledge of mountain biking to good use by landing a job working for MBUK magazine as features editor. Since working for MBUK, Alex’s focus has moved to bike tech. He’s one of BikeRadar’s lead testers and knows how to push bikes and products to the limit, searching out the equipment that represents the best value for money. Alex is also a dedicated eMTB rider, and still dabbles in racing of a sort, doing his best to top the Strava leaderboard on the steepest, gnarliest and twistiest trails the Tweed Valley has to offer – just for fun, of course. Alex is also a regular on the BikeRadar YouTube channel and BikeRadar podcast.